SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, consultant, speaker,
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics


You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 3)

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security | 17th March 2025

Another thought-provoking discussion from Saul Eslake and Rear Admiral Rowan Moffitt AO, RAN (retd) about Australia’s defense challenges and the delicate balancing act between the Navy, Air Force, and Army. This conversation explores key topics such as military funding rivalry, modern fleet capabilities, and how Australia addresses its strategic defense needs. From the youngest Air Force fleet to the evolving role of the Army and the Navy’s challenges, we unpack the complexities of national defense in the modern era.


Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The Australian Financial Review published an op-ed article from me on the Commonwealth Grants Commission’s recommendations as to how the revenue from the GST should be carved up among Australia’s states and territories in the 2025-26 financial year (which were released on 14th March). This article focuses on the fact that, for the first time, […]


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security | 14th March 2025

Saul Eslake talks with the newest member of the InEconomics team, Rear Admiral Rowan Moffitt AO, RAN (retd) about Australia’s defense strategy amid shifting global dynamics. With China’s increasing military presence and evolving U.S. alliances, how should Australia respond? This discussion explores defense spending, strategic partnerships, and the necessity of a national security framework. Are we making the right choices, or are we stuck in outdated defense policies? Watch now to gain expert insights on the future of Australia’s military strategy.


Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Video, Security | 14th March 2025

Saul Eslake and Rowan Moffitt discuss Australia’s defense strategy amid shifting global dynamics. With China’s increasing military presence and evolving U.S. alliances, how should Australia respond? This discussion explores defense spending, strategic partnerships, and the necessity of a national security framework. Are we making the right choices, or are we stuck in outdated defense policies? Watch now to gain expert insights on the future of Australia’s military strategy.Saul Eslake and Rowan Moffitt: Questions for Australia’s Defence in a Changed World (Part 2)


What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

Saul Eslake talks to ABC Sydney’s ‘Mornings’ presenter Hamish McDonald about what could be in the Budget to be presented on 25th March, and the impact of the tariffs that Donald Trump is likely to impose on Australian exports of steel and aluminium to the US. And about Kylie Minogue.


The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this

Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

An article originally published on Pearls and Irritations (a blog curated by John Menadue), and by The New Daily on 9th February 2025 I am not suffering from what some of President Donald Trump’s more fervent supporters — both in the US and in Australia — like to call “Trump derangement syndrome”. That is, I’m not disputing that […]


Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

My op-ed in The Australian Financial Review of 9th February 2025 about the meaning of the by-elections held in the Victorian state seats of Werribee and Prahran the precdeding day – in particular, about the Victorian economy and the parlous state of Victoria’s public finances. Federal election 2025: Liberal Party is yet to heed the message […]


Victoria’s economy and public finances

Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy | 5th March 2025

Victoria’s economy has begun to under-perform that of the rest of Australia, even though its population growth rate (which has under-pinned an above average ‘headline’ economic growth rate for most of the past two decades) is still above that of the rest of Australia. But measured in terms of either per capita gross product, or […]


SPEAKING ENGAGEMENT

Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness



Saul Eslake spoke to Zurich Australia executives and staff at their ‘Accelerate’ conference in Sydney on 9th May 2024, covering short- and longer-term trends in major ‘advanced’ economies, China, India and Australia, with a bit of geo-politics thrown in.



“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media


Victoria joins the ranks of so-called ‘mendicant’ states
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 16th March 2025

The impact of Trump’s tariff and other policies
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 13th March 2025

What could be in the Federal Budget 2025-2026?
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 12th March 2025

The real meaning of last November’s US elections is becoming clearer – the American people voted for this
Australian Society and Politics, News, Security, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 9th March 2025

Werribee voters send messages to both major Victorian political parties
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News | 9th March 2025

Review of the case for privatization of Tasmanian Government business enterprises
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 6th March 2025

Tasmania’s Public Finances
& the Independent Review of Tasmania’s State Finances (Aug, 2024)

News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 14th February 2025

How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poor states’
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 25th November 2024

Negative Gearing
Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, Taxation | 26th September 2024

Tasmania’s State Budget 2024 – 2025 with Leon Compton
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 13th September 2024

Solutions to Australia’s Housing Crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview | 11th September 2024

All about inflation
Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 31st August 2024

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VIDEO

Most Recent Multimedia


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


Australian Minister for Housing, the Hon. Clare O'Neill MP on ABC Q&A, September 2024

“We are lucky as a State to have an economist of your calibre willing to readily make yourself available to give us a clea r perception of where we are at and the direction we need to go for a better future”
Diplomatic Representative, August 2024

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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LINKS

Useful Links


Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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