Asian Economies
Asia accounts for 52% of the world’s population and (as of 2016) 39% of the world’s GDP. By the end of the decade Asia will account for 42% of the world’s GDP. Asia takes almost three-quarters of Australia’s exports of goods and services and supplies more than half of Australia’s imports. You simply can’t understand Australia’s long-term economic prospects without a good understanding of what’s happening in the major Asian economies.
A few quick thoughts about China
Asian Economies | 19th October 2021A short presentation to my colleagues in Llewellyn Consulting about the factors shaping China’s longer-run growth performance and prospects on 20th October 2021
Talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit
Asian Economies, Economic Video | 18th October 2021A short talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit on 19th October 2021, jointly hosted by the Indonesia Investment Promotion Centre in Sydney and the Australia-Indonesia Business Council, about the improving investment climate in Indonesia, especially for those interested in the health and aged care sectors (which were the focus of this year’s summit)
Papua New Guinea in the Post-Covid World Economy
Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 7th September 2021Presentation to the 2021 Papua New Guinea Investment Conference, 7th September 2021
Peripheral Asia
Asian Economies | 7th July 2021My presentation to the annual meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), held ‘virtually’ (again) this year. It covers all of Asia (except for China and Japan), and including Australia and New Zealand
Australia and Korea: the ‘odd couple’
Asian Economies, News, Publications | 21st April 2021I’m quoted in the Singapore Straits Times and Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post talking about the different reasons why Australia’s and Korea’s economies were the only ones to avoid recession during the financial crisis of 12 years ago, and why they have recovered strongly from the Covid-19 induced recession
China’s Economy
Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 10th March 2021China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime. He will also talk about prospects for […]
Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies – September 2020
Asian Economies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th September 2020Online presentation slides: the Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies 7th September 2020
How vulnerable is China?
Asian Economies | 2nd August 2020An article based on my response to a question from a client asking what I thought of an article predicting the imminent demise of “the Chinese model”
