SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

The New World of Economic Disruptors – from Brexit to Trump

The Global Economy | 16th August 2016

Presentation to First Samuel Limited’s annual Client Forum, Melbourne, 16th August 2016


Is the World Economy Facing ‘Secular Stagnation’?

The Global Economy | 16th June 2014

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Oslo, Norway, 16th June 2014


Germany’s economic and political generals are fighting the wrong war

Publications, The Global Economy | 25th November 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 25th November 2011


Europeans and Americans don’t run the world economy any more, and shouldn’t automatically run the IMF

Publications, The Global Economy | 24th May 2011

Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers, 24th May 2011


Is the US Dollar in Danger of Losing its Reserve Currency Status?

The Global Economy | 3rd July 2009

Presentation to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE) in Munich, Germany, 3rd July 2009


The difference between a recession and a depression

The Global Economy | 23rd November 2008

An essay which began as an answer to a question put to me by my then boss, “what’s the difference between a recession and a depression”, during the darkest period of the Global Financial Crisis, and which was subsequently picked up by The Economist.


The Emergence of Oil Producers as Net International Creditors – Possible Implications for the Global Financial System.

The Global Economy | 22nd June 2006

Paper presented to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), Milan, Italy, 22nd June 2006


WEEKLY CHART PACK


Each weekend since mid-April I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:

  • charts tracking the spread of Covid-19, globally and in Australia, and government responses to it;
  • the impact on the global economy and major individual economies such as China, Japan, other Asian economies, the US and Europe;
  • financial and commodities markets;
  • multiple aspects of the Australian economy, including state-level comparisons, and the policy responses of the Australian and state or territory governments, and the Reserve Bank of Australia; and
  • similar, though smaller coverage of the New Zealand economy.

The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
28th November 2020


CORONAVIRUS IMPACT CHART PACK 2020-11-28

"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


WEEKLY CHART PACK

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way.
So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com


DEC

16th

2020 – End of the Year Presentation

6:00 pm AEDT
3:00 pm Hong Kong | 2:00 pm WIB | 8:00 am CET | 7:00 am London
Include access to Saul's presentation slides and video

FREE Registration


Request Speaking Engagement

WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack 2020-11-28

Chart Pack | 28th November 2020

The Economic Consequences of Misguided Localism
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

Why I changed my mind about compulsory super
Economic Policies | 11th September 2020

Media coverage of my report on replacements for the Spirits of Tasmania ferries
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Publications, Tasmania | 27th November 2020

Saul Eslake stands by Spirits of Tasmania replacement report
News, Publications, Tasmania | 27th November 2020

Saul talks about factors driving the Tasmanian property market
Tasmania | 26th November 2020

Interview with Triple M-Hobart on ‘Choices and Consequences’
News, Publications, Tasmania | 24th November 2020

Interview with ABC The Drum about compulsory super contribution
Economic Policies, News, Publications | 23rd November 2020

Interview with Tasmania Talks on ‘Choices and Consequences’
News, Publications, Tasmania | 23rd November 2020

Interview with ABC Hobart on ‘Choices and Consequences’
News, Publications, Tasmania | 23rd November 2020

The Australian’s take on ‘Choices and Consequences’
News, Publications, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

Article in the Launceston Examiner on ‘Choices and Consequences’
News, Publications, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

The Hobart Mercury’s take on ‘Choices and Consequences’
News, Publications, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

I changed my mind on increasing the compulsory superannuation contribution rate
Economic Policies, Publications | 22nd November 2020

COMING UP

Up Coming Speaking Engagements


DEC

7th

State of the Nation

Presentation to the Governance Institute of Australia Virtual National Conference 2020

8:55 am

VIDEO

Recent Presentations


The Impact of Covid-19 series

These videos are available to audience of Saul’s presentations as soon as they are uploaded and will be available to public one month after the presentation date.

See more


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links