SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy


Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

The Australian economy’s recovery from the corona-recession, and implications for interest rates

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 8th April 2021

Saul talks to the Eureka Report’s Alan Kohler about Australia’s better-than-expected recovery from the “corona-recession”, which in turn reflects Australia’s relatively good performance in keeping the virus ‘at bay’ and the larger-than-average volume of fiscal support provided by the Australian Government. He explains how the closure of Australia’s borders to migrants (as well as tourists […]


Rebound in growth could force RBA’s hand on rates

Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 8th April 2021

Feature article published in the Australian Financial Review on 7th April, looking at Australia’s emergence from the recession induced by Covid-19, and the implications for the future course of fiscal and monetary policy


Conversation with the Archbishop

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Other Video, Taxation, The Australian Economy, Video | 27th March 2021

Saul participated in a ‘Conversation with the Archbishop’, hosted by the Anglican Archbishop of Melbourne, Dr Philip Freier, in Melbourne’s Federation Square along with CEO of Anglicare Kasy Chambers, on Tuesday 23rd March 2021, about Australia’s response to Covid-19 and how the ‘new normal’ could be different from the old one.


The west is having its iron ore cake – and eating it too

Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2021

Op-ed piece in the Australian Financial Review on 24th March 2021 about “deal” imposed on states and territories by the Federal Government two years ago which is now producing the perverse result that the Federal Government will have to run an even bigger budget deficit so as to allow Western Australia – the only government […]


Opportunities and Challenges for Regional Australia

The Australian Economy | 17th March 2021

Presentation to the Regional Australia Institute’s “Rising Regions” National Summit, Canberra, 17th March 2021


A Pre-Election Western Australia Chart Pack

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 10th March 2021

A set of charts exploring the unusual structure of Western Australia’s economy; and how it became Australia’s richest state as a result of the China-fuelled ‘resources boom’ of 2005-2015, before falling into recession after the end of the ‘investment phase’ of that boom, and how having squandered a good deal of the revenue bonanza thrown […]


The Australian economy and its recovery from the Covid recession

The Australian Economy | 28th January 2021

Saul talks to The Eureka Report’s (and the ABC’s) Alan Kohler about the Australian economy and its recovery from the Covid recession


The current economic environment

Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th November 2020

Saul talks to Veronica Morgan and Chris Bates of the “Elephant in the Room” Property Podcast


PREMIUM ACCESS


Weekly Chart Pack and Online Event


Next Online Event

WEEKLY CHART PACK


Each weekend since mid-April I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:

  • charts tracking the spread of Covid-19, globally and in Australia, and government responses to it;
  • the impact on the global economy and major individual economies such as China, Japan, other Asian economies, the US and Europe;
  • financial and commodities markets;
  • multiple aspects of the Australian economy, including state-level comparisons, and the policy responses of the Australian and state or territory governments, and the Reserve Bank of Australia; and
  • similar, though smaller coverage of the New Zealand economy.

The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
10th April 2021


CORONAVIRUS IMPACT CHART PACK 2021-04-10

"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


WEEKLY CHART PACK

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way.
So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com



Request Speaking Engagement

WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack 2021-04-01

Chart Pack | 10th April 2021

The Australian economy’s recovery from the corona-recession, and implications for interest rates
Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 8th April 2021

Rebound in growth could force RBA’s hand on rates
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 8th April 2021

The west is having its iron ore cake – and eating it too
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 24th March 2021

Third stage of the Government’s Tax Plan probably won’t boost economic growth
Economic Policies, News, Taxation | 22nd March 2021

Tasmania needs to ‘fix’ its education and health systems
News, Tasmania | 22nd March 2021

Western Australia’s share of GST revenues
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies | 19th March 2021

Opportunities and Challenges for Regional Australia
The Australian Economy | 17th March 2021

A Pre-Election Western Australia Chart Pack
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 10th March 2021

China’s Economy
Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 10th March 2021

Tasmania’s Economy and Trade
Tasmania | 2nd March 2021

Tasmania in the time of Covid-19 (and afterwards)
Tasmania | 20th February 2021

Tasmania’s Economy and Education Systems in the Time of Covid-19 (and Afterwards)
Education, Tasmania | 18th February 2021

Interview with Tasmania Talks’ Mike O’loughlin
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Tasmania | 16th February 2021

Economist Saul Eslake questions need for so many details
Australian Society and Politics, News, Tasmania | 15th February 2021

Covid-19 globally and the prospects for the world economy
The Global Economy | 10th February 2021

CommSec ranks Tasmania the top performing State economy
Tasmania | 29th January 2021

The Australian economy and its recovery from the Covid recession
The Australian Economy | 28th January 2021

Success in containing virus crucial to economic recovery
Publications | 19th December 2020

VIDEO

Recent Presentations


The Impact of Covid-19 series

These videos are available to audience of Saul’s presentations as soon as they are uploaded and will be available to public one month after the presentation date.

See more


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links