‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy

Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

Inflation Rate

Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 30th March 2023

Saul talks to Sky News Australia’s Ashleigh Gillon about the latest CPI on 30th March 2023 

Some Reflections on Inflation, Economic Growth and on Monetary and Fiscal Policy

Economic Policies, The Australian Economy | 11th August 2022

Talk to the ACT Branch of the Economic Society of Australia, at Parliament House in Canberra, on 11th August 2022    

The Risk of Recession

Economic Video, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 10th August 2022

Saul talks to Eureka Report’s Alan Kohler about the risks of Australia’s economy falling into recession as interest rates rise here and abroad. 

Managing the Budget

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Economic Video, The Australian Economy | 9th August 2022

 Presentation to the John Howard Prime Ministerial Library’s 2022 Annual Conference on the theme “Analysing the crises within the Howard Government era and their management”, on 23rd June 2022

Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 31st July 2022

Saul talks to Laura Tingle, Chief Political Correspondent for ABC-TV’s flagship current affairs program “7:30”, about the Treasurer’s Ministerial Statement on the Economy on 28th July. 

June quarter inflation figures

News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 28th July 2022

Saul talks to ABC Radio National “Drive” presenter Andy Park about the June quarter inflation figures and their implications for interest rates and the Australian economy, 27th July 2022 

Consumer prices surge to 21-year high

Economic Policies, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 27th July 2022

Saul Eslake talks to SBS’ Ricardo Gonçalves about about the June quarter CPI data which showed Australia’s annual ‘headline’ inflation rate reaching at 31½ -year high of 6.1% 

The Australian Economy – What’s in Store?

The Australian Economy | 20th July 2022

Presentation to RPS Australia in Melbourne, 20th July 2022


Speaking Engagement | Boardroom Advisory | Commissioned Report | Expert Witness

Saul Eslake online presentation

“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast

“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia

“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies

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What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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