Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.
Saul Eslake talks to ABC Radio National’s Peter Martin and Gigi Foster on their “The Economists” program 22nd July 2021
Saul discusses ‘The Future of Super’ with Federal Liberal MP Tim Wilson, who is also the Chair of the House of Representatives Economics Committee
Address to a luncheon hosted by the South Australian Centre for Economic Studies in Adelaide on 13th July – looking (briefly) at the outlook for the world economy, (in a bit more detail) about the Australian economy’s performance and prospects, and finishing with some commentary on the changes to the way in which GST revenues […]
Join Saul Eslake for a discussion about how Australia’s prolonged border closures are indirectly providing a short-term boost to spending, and making it easier to reduce unemployment – although in the long run this form of ‘protectionism’ like all the other forms will make us worse off.
This webinar is being offered free of charge in the interests of prompting wider awareness of some of the implications of the Government’s health and economic strategies.
Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers on 4th June 2021 outlining how Victoria’s economy has come to depend to a much greater extent on population growth than that of any other Australian state or territory, and the possible consequences for Victoria’s medium-term economic outlook given the way its mis-handling […]
Saul talks to Melbourne radion 3AW‘s Ross Stevenson and Russel Howcroft about how Victoria has gone from being one of Australia’s richest states to one of its poorest, by some measures, over the past 20 years.
Saul talks to Domain‘s Alice Stolz about the outlook for property prices, and housing policies
The Australian Financial Review’s newly-appointed Economics Editor John Kehoe had a front-page piece about the performance of Victoria’s economy, based in part on interviews with me, on 31st May 2021. Here is a set of charts illustrating the points I was making.
Each weekend since mid-April 2020 I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:
The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.
If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.
Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report
Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian
Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania
Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website
retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales
Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast
Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report
Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania
Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website
retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales
Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia
Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies
Some commentators seem to think that ‘QE’ is simply a variant of, or a step along the road to, something called ‘Modern Monetary Theory’ or ‘MMT’. It isn’t: and so in the second part of this series Saul explains what MMT is (and isn’t).
JULY
29th
5:00 PM Australian Eastern Standard Time
3:00 PM Hong Kong | 2:00 PM Jakarta | 9:00 AM Central European | 8:00 AM London
Cost: FREE ~ Includes access to Saul's presentation slides and video
In this webinar Saul will explain exactly what ‘QE’ is, how its done, why central banks are doing it, what its intended and unintended effects are, and how long central banks might keep doing it for.
AUG
TBC
5:00 PM Australian Eastern Standard Time
3:00 PM Hong Kong | 2:00 PM Jakarta | 9:00 AM Central European | 8:00 AM London
Cost: $50.00 AUD ~ Includes access to Saul's presentation slides and video
In this webinar Saul will explain what MMT is (and what it isn’t), what the historical record shows about how it might work in practice, and what some of the results might be if it were implemented in current circumstances.
Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations
Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere
TV, Radio & Print Media
What Others Say
“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002
“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009
“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009
“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008
Useful Links
Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics
