SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Australian Society and Politics


You can’t think (or write, or speak) about an economy without also having a sense of the broader social and economic framework in which it operates. I try very hard to avoid partisan political commentary, but I do sometimes feel moved to write or talk about social or political developments.

Media coverage of my report on replacements for the Spirits of Tasmania ferries

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, News, Publications, Tasmania | 27th November 2020

Saul Eslake stands by Spirits of Tasmania replacement report Follow up interview with Tasmania Talks‘ Aaron Stephens News, Publications, Tasmania | 27th November 2020 Interview with Triple M Hobart on ‘Choices and Consequences’ Interview with Triple M Hobart‘s Brian Carlton: The Spoonman News, Publications, Tasmania | 24th November 2020 Interview with Tasmania Talks on ‘Choices and Consequences’ Interview with Tasmania Talks‘ Aaron Stephens News, Publications, Tasmania | […]


The Economic Consequences of Misguided Localism

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Tasmania | 22nd November 2020

An analysis of the potential economic consequences of the Tasmanian Government’s decision (taken, it would seem, under pressure from the Australian federal government) to over-ride the decision of the board of its state-owned shipping company, TT-Line, to purchase replacements for its two Bass Strait ferries, the Spirits of Tasmania, from Europe, in favour of having […]


Regulatory action that ANZ would not like

Australian Society and Politics, Publications, The Australian Economy | 8th November 2020

Last month, a senior Minister in the Morrison Government threatened my former employer, ANZ Bank, with adverse regulatory actions because a well-known employee with the initials “SE” (in this case, the current CEO Shayne Elliott) said something that the Minister didn’t like. This brought back fond memories, which I couldn’t help writing about .


VIC Lockdown Fines Outdo Other States

Australian Society and Politics, News, Topics | 11th October 2020

Interview with Sky News Australia, 10th October 2020 Victorians payed $2.2m more in COVID fines than rest of Australia combined during first lockdown Economist Saul Eslake has discovered Victorians during the first lockdown payed almost $6 million in fines for allegedly breaching COVID restrictions, $2.2 million more than the rest of the country combined. “Let […]


Victoria – The Police State

Australian Society and Politics | 29th September 2020

Consistent with the well-established practice of Victorian Governments of both political persuasions, Victoria has seen Covid-19 as providing unsurpassed opportunities to extend the use of its police force as an adjunct of the State Revenue Office. During Australia’s ‘first wave’ of Covid-19 infections, no other state was as assiduous as Victoria in fining its citizens […]


‘Sovereign Risk’ and the proposed Adani Carmichael coal mine in Queensland

Australian Society and Politics | 21st May 2018

A paper commissioned by the Australian Conservation Foundation, asking whether a decision by a future Australian Government to halt the proposed Carmichael (Adani) coal mine in Queensland’s Galilee Basin would constitute ‘sovereign risk’ and put Australia’s AAA credit rating at risk, or would otherwise undermine Australia’s capacity to attract foreign investment


Submission to the Productivity Commission’s Review of Horizontal Fiscal Equalization

Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies | 10th November 2017

The Productivity Commission (PC) is conducting a review of the way in which the revenue from Australia’s goods and services tax (GST) is shared among Australia’s States and Territories, with a view to evening out their capacity to provide a similar range and standard of public services to their citizens, having regard both to differences […]


Productivity Commission’s Draft Report on the GST revenue distribution formula

Australian Society and Politics, News | 10th October 2017

Brian Carlton | Tasmania Talks | 10th October 2017 Interview with Northern Tasmania commercial radio’s Brian Carlton on the Productivity Commission’s draft report into the distribution of revenue from the GST among Australia’s State and Territory Governments (otherwise known as ‘horizontal fiscal equalization’), 10th October 2017 A productivity commission report has recommended that changes be […]


WEEKLY CHART PACK


Each weekend since mid-April I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:

  • charts tracking the spread of Covid-19, globally and in Australia, and government responses to it;
  • the impact on the global economy and major individual economies such as China, Japan, other Asian economies, the US and Europe;
  • financial and commodities markets;
  • multiple aspects of the Australian economy, including state-level comparisons, and the policy responses of the Australian and state or territory governments, and the Reserve Bank of Australia; and
  • similar, though smaller coverage of the New Zealand economy.

The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
16th January 2021


CORONAVIRUS IMPACT CHART PACK 2021-01-16

"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


WEEKLY CHART PACK

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way.
So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com


FEB

2nd

Saul Eslake’s February 2021 Presentation: China’s Economy

China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime. He will also talk about prospects for Sino-US relations following the inauguration of Joe Biden as President of the United States, and the deterioration in the bilateral economic and political relationship between Australia and China.

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COMING UP

Up Coming Speaking Engagements


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


The Impact of Covid-19 series

These videos are available to audience of Saul’s presentations as soon as they are uploaded and will be available to public one month after the presentation date.

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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

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