SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Asian Economies


Asia accounts for 52% of the world’s population and (as of 2016) 39% of the world’s GDP. By the end of the decade Asia will account for 42% of the world’s GDP. Asia takes almost three-quarters of Australia’s exports of goods and services and supplies more than half of Australia’s imports. You simply can’t understand Australia’s long-term economic prospects without a good understanding of what’s happening in the major Asian economies.

Insights on Asian Elections 2024 mentioned in The Economist

Asian Economies | 30th January 2024

Saul Eslake: A couple of weeks ago I gave a presentation to colleagues in ICCBE previewing this year’s Asian elections (Taiwan, now done,  Indonesia in just over two weeks, and India in April-May). I was delighted when The Economist’s Adam Roberts picked up some of my comments on India and posted them in his Sunday’s newsletter on 28th January 2024


Have we passed ‘peak China’?

Asian Economies | 23rd January 2024

Saul Eslake’s presentation to colleagues in Independent Economics, which argues that China’s sluggish recovery from the Covid-19 pandemic isn’t just a ‘cylical’ thing, but rather reflects longer-term factors (as well as policy choices) which are likely to result in China’s economy growing by well under 5% per annum in the years ahead, and possibly under […]


Asian elections in 2024

Asian Economies | 10th January 2024

A brief look at the candidates and issues in the elections coming up in Taiwan this week, in Indonesia next month, and in India in (most likely) April and May.


Monash University Indonesia and XSPI webinar

Asian Economies, The Australian Economy | 17th May 2022

Saul’s presentation to a webinar hosted by Monash University Indonesia and XSPI on 17th May 2022 looking at lessons from the pandemic for Australia and Indonesia.  


Indonesia as an investment destination

Asian Economies, Economic Video | 25th November 2021

Saul’s presentation to a webinar on “Seizing Post-Pandemic Investment Opportunities in Indonesia” hosted by the Indonesia Investment Promotion Centre in Sydney on 24th November 2021. In this presentation Saul makes the case for Indonesia to be seen as an alternative for countries and companies wanting to reduce their dependence on China, with the IMF forecasting […]


A few quick thoughts about China

Asian Economies | 19th October 2021

A short presentation to my colleagues in Llewellyn Consulting about the factors shaping China’s longer-run growth performance and prospects on 20th October 2021


Talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit

Asian Economies, Economic Video | 18th October 2021

A short talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit on 19th October 2021, jointly hosted by the Indonesia Investment Promotion Centre in Sydney and the Australia-Indonesia Business Council, about the improving investment climate in Indonesia, especially for those interested in the health and aged care sectors (which were the focus of this year’s summit)


Papua New Guinea in the Post-Covid World Economy

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 7th September 2021

Presentation to the 2021 Papua New Guinea Investment Conference, 7th September 2021


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Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


Tasmania’s senior secondary education reform
Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
13th February 2024


Distribution of GST Revenue: the Worst Public Policy Decision of the 21st Century to date.
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, The Australian Economy
4th February 2024


Insights on Asian Elections 2024 mentioned in The Economist
Asian Economies
30th January 2024


Alternatives to interest rates
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
29th January 2024


Reflections on ‘Australia Day’
Australian Society and Politics
26th January 2024


‘Stage 3’ tax cuts
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
25th January 2024


The proposed changes to the “stage 3 tax cuts”
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
24th January 2024


Don’t count your chickens when it comes to an RBA rate cut
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
23rd January 2024


Have we passed ‘peak China’?
Asian Economies
23rd January 2024


Cost of Living and Housing Pressure
Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy
22nd January 2024


VIDEO

Recent Presentations


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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