Asia accounts for 52% of the world’s population and (as of 2016) 39% of the world’s GDP. By the end of the decade Asia will account for 42% of the world’s GDP. Asia takes almost three-quarters of Australia’s exports of goods and services and supplies more than half of Australia’s imports. You simply can’t understand Australia’s long-term economic prospects without a good understanding of what’s happening in the major Asian economies.
My presentation to the annual meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists (ICCBE), held ‘virtually’ (again) this year. It covers all of Asia (except for China and Japan), and including Australia and New Zealand
I’m quoted in the Singapore Straits Times and Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post talking about the different reasons why Australia’s and Korea’s economies were the only ones to avoid recession during the financial crisis of 12 years ago, and why they have recovered strongly from the Covid-19 induced recession
China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime. He will also talk about prospects for […]
Online presentation slides: the Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies 7th September 2020 ...
An article based on my response to a question from a client asking what I thought of an article predicting the imminent demise of “the Chinese model”...
Presentation slides for The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies webinar 31st 2020...
Presentation to a ‘virtual’ meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, 9th June 2020...
Presentation to a ‘virtual’ meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, 9th June 2020...
Each weekend since mid-April 2020 I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:
The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.
If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.
Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report
Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian
Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania
Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website
retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales
Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast
Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report
Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania
Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website
retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales
Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia
Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies
Some commentators seem to think that ‘QE’ is simply a variant of, or a step along the road to, something called ‘Modern Monetary Theory’ or ‘MMT’. It isn’t: and so in the second part of this series Saul explains what MMT is (and isn’t).
JULY
29th
5:00 PM Australian Eastern Standard Time
3:00 PM Hong Kong | 2:00 PM Jakarta | 9:00 AM Central European | 8:00 AM London
Cost: FREE ~ Includes access to Saul's presentation slides and video
In this webinar Saul will explain exactly what ‘QE’ is, how its done, why central banks are doing it, what its intended and unintended effects are, and how long central banks might keep doing it for.
AUG
TBC
5:00 PM Australian Eastern Standard Time
3:00 PM Hong Kong | 2:00 PM Jakarta | 9:00 AM Central European | 8:00 AM London
Cost: $50.00 AUD ~ Includes access to Saul's presentation slides and video
In this webinar Saul will explain what MMT is (and what it isn’t), what the historical record shows about how it might work in practice, and what some of the results might be if it were implemented in current circumstances.
Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations
Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere
TV, Radio & Print Media
What Others Say
“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002
“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009
“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009
“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008
Useful Links
Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics
