SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Australian Economy


Australia hasn’t had a recession – in the widely used sense of two or more consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth – since 1991. Since then, Australia’s ranking among nations in terms of per capita GDP has risen from 22nd to, in the last four years, either 12th or 13th, behind only the United States, Norway, Switzerland and a number of other smaller states which are predominantly either oil producers or financial centres. Australia’s economic performance reflects a combination of luck and management – the relative importance and quality of which have varied significantly from time to time. Monitoring the performance of and analysing the prospects for the Australian economy has been the major part of my ‘day job’ since I completed my university degree in 1979.

The Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 22nd July 2020

Presentation at the Economic Society of Australia 22nd July 2020


Saul Eslake talks with Elysse Morgan about the pathway to recovery from the Covid-induced recession

News, The Australian Economy | 21st July 2020

Saul Eslake talks with Elysse Morgan, host of ABC-TV’s “The Business”, about the pathway to recovery from the Covid-induced recession. 8th June 2020


Is this a Depression?

News, The Australian Economy | 16th July 2020

Feature article in the Launceston Examiner, 16th July 2020


Economic Recovery, Community Services and Covid-19

The Australian Economy | 25th June 2020

‘Webinar’ presentation to Shelter WA, 25th June 2020  ...

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The ‘Post-Covid’ Global, Australian and Tasmanian Economies

Tasmania, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 12th June 2020

Presentation to a Webinar hosted by the Tasmanian Branch of the Australia-China Business Council, 12th June 2020


Economic Recovery, Community Services and Covid-19

Housing, The Australian Economy | 21st May 2020

Presentation to a ‘webinar’ hosted by Q Shelter, 21st May 2020...

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Outlook for the Australian Economy

The Australian Economy | 16th November 2018

Presentation to a luncheon hosted by Sharp & Carter, a recruitment agency, in Melbourne on 16th November 2018


Taking the temperature of the Australian economy

The Australian Economy | 26th October 2018

Presentation to the Urban Development of Australia (UDIA) Victoria’s 2018 Developers’ Summit in Melbourne on 26th October 2018


WEEKLY CHART PACK


Each weekend since mid-April I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:

  • charts tracking the spread of Covid-19, globally and in Australia, and government responses to it;
  • the impact on the global economy and major individual economies such as China, Japan, other Asian economies, the US and Europe;
  • financial and commodities markets;
  • multiple aspects of the Australian economy, including state-level comparisons, and the policy responses of the Australian and state or territory governments, and the Reserve Bank of Australia; and
  • similar, though smaller coverage of the New Zealand economy.

The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
25th October 2020


CORONAVIRUS IMPACT CHART PACK 2020-10-25

"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


WEEKLY CHART PACK

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way.
So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com


OCT

28th

Preview of the US Presidential and Congressional elections

Saul’s preview of the US Presidential and Congressional elections.
Join Saul Eslake from the comfort of your device anywhere in the world.

9:00 pm AEDT
6:00 pm Hong Kong | 11:00 am CET | 10:00 am London
Include access to Saul's presentation slides and video
$29.99 NOW $15.99 discount code: US-Election valid until 28.10. 2020

Register



Assessment of the 2020-21 Australian Federal Budget

The theme of Treasurer Josh Frydenberg’s first budget – way back in April last year – was “back in black”: it was meant to deliver Australia’s first budget surplus since before the global financial crisis. His second budget – to be delivered on Tuesday 6th October – will instead include Australia’s largest budget deficit since World War II, of more than A$200 billion (or 10% of GDP).  The Treasurer has already foreshadowed that Tuesday’s Budget will be based on a new fiscal strategy – one which prioritizes economic growth and job creation above ‘budget repair’ and debt reduction, at least until Australia’s unemployment rate drops back to 6% or lower. That looks like the right approach: but in the Budget, the Treasurer will be spelling out precisely how he wants to achieve those priorities. Join me for a discussion of whether what he proposes will help pull Australia out of its first recession in nearly 30 years, and its worst since the Great Depression of the 1930.

*Subscribers will receive personal YouTube invitation email to view this private video.

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COMING UP

Up Coming Speaking Engagements


DEC

7th

State of the Nation

Presentation to the Governance Institute of Australia Virtual National Conference 2020

8:55 am

VIDEO

Recent Presentations


data-equalizer-watch
The Impact of Covid-19 series

These videos are available to audience of Saul’s presentations as soon as they are uploaded and will be available to public one month after the presentation date.

See more


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links