SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

The Global Economy


Australia may be an island continent, but it is no more immune to global economic influences than are other countries which share physical borders with their nearest neighbours. Australia is very much exposed to global swings in commodity prices, and to fluctuations in major advanced economies and (increasingly) to business cycles in key emerging economies such as China. Australia’s financial markets are increasingly integrated with the their global counterparts. And Australian economic policy-makers cannot ignore changes in monetary, fiscal and other economic policy settings in the world’s major economies. Hence, an awareness of trends in the global economy is an essential element of understanding Australian economic conditions.

Video & Presentation Slide: Preview of the US Presidential and Congressional elections

Other Video, The Global Economy, Video | 28th October 2020

Presentation slide for Preview of the US Presidential and Congressional elections, 28th October 2020.


Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies – September 2020

Asian Economies, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 7th September 2020

Online presentation slides: the Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies 7th September 2020  ...

You need to 'subscribe' to gain access to specific materials or to attend events on this website.

Premium Access - Monthly and Premium Access - Yearly


Login OR Subscribe


The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies

Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 31st July 2020

Presentation slides for The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies webinar 31st 2020...

You need to 'subscribe' to gain access to specific materials or to attend events on this website.

Premium Access - Monthly and Premium Access - Yearly


Login OR Subscribe

The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 29th July 2020

Presentation slides for The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Australian Economies webinar 29th 2020...

You need to 'subscribe' to gain access to specific materials or to attend events on this website.

Premium Access - Monthly and Premium Access - Yearly


Login OR Subscribe

The Economic Impact of the COVID-19 Epidemic

The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 22nd July 2020

Presentation at the Economic Society of Australia 22nd July 2020


Global Poverty at the Crossroads

News, The Global Economy | 21st July 2020

A review of ‘The Parlous State of Poverty Education’, a report to the UN Human Rights Council by the Special Rapporteur on Extreme Poverty and Human Rights, Australian-born lawyer Philip Alston. This was first published on Inside Story on 21st July 2020.


The ‘Post-Covid’ Global, Australian and Tasmanian Economies

Tasmania, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy | 12th June 2020

Presentation to a Webinar hosted by the Tasmanian Branch of the Australia-China Business Council, 12th June 2020


WEEKLY CHART PACK


Each weekend since mid-April I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:

  • charts tracking the spread of Covid-19, globally and in Australia, and government responses to it;
  • the impact on the global economy and major individual economies such as China, Japan, other Asian economies, the US and Europe;
  • financial and commodities markets;
  • multiple aspects of the Australian economy, including state-level comparisons, and the policy responses of the Australian and state or territory governments, and the Reserve Bank of Australia; and
  • similar, though smaller coverage of the New Zealand economy.

The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
8th May 2021


CORONAVIRUS IMPACT CHART PACK 2021-05-08

"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


WEEKLY CHART PACK

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way.
So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


“I continue to find you thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com


MAY

12th

Assessment of 2021 – 2022 Australian Federal Budget

3:00 PM Australian Eastern Standard Time
1:00 PM Hong Kong | 12:00 PM Jakarta | 7:00 AM Central European | 6:00 AM London

Last year’s budget encapsulated a massive turnaround in the Morrison Government’s fiscal strategy, from one focussed on achieving and then maintaining budget surpluses and paying down with a view eventually to eliminating government net debt, to one focussed on supporting economic activity and employment in the face of the Covid-19 pandemic, even though that meant running the largest budget deficits (as a proportion of GDP) since World War II and a dramatic increase in public debt. Partly thanks to that turnaround, Australia’s economy has fared better than those of most other ‘advanced’ nations – economic activity is back to its pre-Covid level, employment is above its pre-Covid level, and the unemployment rate is now down to within ½ a percentage point of its pre-covid level. In response, Treasurer Josh Frydenberg has again “shifted the goalposts” for his Government’s fiscal strategy, saying that the Government won’t begin the task of discretionary ‘budget repair’ until the unemployment rate is “well below where it was prior to the pandemic”. That means that both monetary and fiscal policy will be working in harmony, towards a common goal of lower unemployment – rather than at cross purposes, as they have done for most of the past two decades.

Join Saul for a discussion of how the 2021-22 Budget implements this new fiscal strategy, and how Australia’s economic outlook is likely to be affected by it.

This webinar is being offered free of charge in the interests of prompting wider awareness of the implications of the Government’s new fiscal strategy.

REGISTER


Request Speaking Engagement

WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack 2021- 05-08

Chart Pack | 8th May 2021

Our closed borders have turbo-charged the economy’s recovery
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 7th May 2021

The Future of Work
Labour Market, The Australian Economy | 4th May 2021

Lessons for Libs in Gutwein’s triumph
Publications, Tasmania | 2nd May 2021

The right and proper thing to do | Inside Story
Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th April 2021

Tasmanian State Election with ABC Radio “AM”‘s Samantha Donovan
News, Tasmania | 30th April 2021

Video & Presentation Slide: US Economy
The Global Economy, US Economy Video | 28th April 2021

State of the States Report on Tasmania’s economy
News, Tasmania | 27th April 2021

Preview of the 1st May Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania | 24th April 2021

Australia and Korea: the ‘odd couple’
Asian Economies, News, Publications | 21st April 2021

The US economy
The Global Economy | 20th April 2021

Longer term prospects for Tasmanian economy
Publications, Tasmania | 18th April 2021

Saul’s take on Tasmania’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update
Publications, Tasmania | 16th April 2021

The Inheritance Taxes
Taxation | 16th April 2021

Tasmania’s decade of changing economic fortunes
Publications, Tasmania | 15th April 2021

Tasmania’s AFL Aspiration
Publications, Tasmania | 15th April 2021

Forty South
Publications, Tasmania | 15th April 2021

The implications of Covid-induced changes in patterns of work for property markets
News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 13th April 2021

Deloitte Access Economics five-year forecasts for the Tasmanian economy
Tasmania | 12th April 2021

VIDEO

Recent Presentations


The Impact of Covid-19 series

These videos are available to audience of Saul’s presentations as soon as they are uploaded and will be available to public one month after the presentation date.

See more


TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links