SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

  • Economist

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Asian Economies

Asia accounts for 52% of the world’s population and (as of 2016) 39% of the world’s GDP. By the end of the decade Asia will account for 42% of the world’s GDP. Asia takes almost three-quarters of Australia’s exports of goods and services and supplies more than half of Australia’s imports. You simply can’t understand Australia’s long-term economic prospects without a good understanding of what’s happening in the major Asian economies.

The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies

 Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 31st July 2020

Presentation slides for The Impact of Covid-19 to the Global and Asian Economies webinar 31st 2020...

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‘Peripheral Asia’ (Asia excluding China and Japan, but including India, Australia & New Zealand)

 Asian Economies | 9th June 2020

Presentation to a ‘virtual’ meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, 9th June 2020...

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China

 Asian Economies | 9th June 2020

Presentation to a ‘virtual’ meeting of the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, 9th June 2020...

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Saul Eslake’s February 2021 Presentation: China’s Economy

 Asian Economies, The Global Economy | 9th March 2020

China’s was the only major economy to record positive growth in 2020. In this talk Saul will discuss the sustainability of the recovery that’s been under way since the second quarter of 2020, the medium-term risks associated with China’s high debt levels, banking system and exchange rate regime. He will also talk about prospects for Sino-US relations following the inauguration of Joe Biden as President of the United States, and the deterioration in the bilateral economic and political relationship between Australia and China.


South East Asia

 Asian Economies | 11th July 2018

Presentation to the International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, New York, 10th July 2018


China’s ‘Belt and Road’ Initiative and its implications for Australia

 Asian Economies | 18th June 2017

Paper presented to the Australia-China Annual Think Tank Economic Dialogue, hosted by the Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation (CAITEC) and the Australia-China Relations Institute (ACRI) at the University of Technology Sydney, in Beijing on 18th June 2017


Asia excluding China and Japan

 Asian Economies | 6th July 2016

Presentation to International Conference of Commercial Bank Economists, Tokyo, 6 July 2016


India’s Economic Development and the Australia-India Relationship

 Asian Economies | 4th April 2013

The 2013 International House Oration, given at International House, part of the University of Melbourne, on 4th April 2013


PREMIUM ACCESS


Weekly Chart Pack and Online Event


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Latest Chart Pack

Online Presentation

WEEKLY CHART PACK


Each weekend since mid-April 2020 I’ve been preparing, updating and distributing a weekly Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack to people in Australia and overseas. Running to over 100 pages it includes:

  • charts tracking the spread of Covid-19, globally and in Australia, and government responses to it;
  • the impact on the global economy and major individual economies such as China, Japan, other Asian economies, the US and Europe;
  • financial and commodities markets;
  • multiple aspects of the Australian economy, including state-level comparisons, and the policy responses of the Australian and state or territory governments, and the Reserve Bank of Australia; and
  • similar, though smaller coverage of the New Zealand economy.

The Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack will be updated every Saturday afternoon, Australian time, for as long as it remains topical. It will be accessible to subscribers of the Premium Access package.

If and when Covid-19 ceases to be front and centre of attention (as it is now) – whenever that might be – I will continue to prepare a Weekly Chart Pack, but with a focus on whatever replaces the virus as the issue du jour.

ECONOMIC IMPACT OF THE CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC
23rd October 2021

CORONAVIRUS IMPACT CHART PACK 2021-10-23

"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way. So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


"A timely and comprehensive summary from one of Australia's best economists."

Adam Creighton, Economics Editor for The Australian


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


WEEKLY CHART PACK

EVENTS

Saul Eslake online presentation


“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


"I see a lot of chart packs in my line of work, but yours is about the best I have seen. It is amazingly comprehensive, covering far more of the world than any individual is entitled to cover, the charts are clear and easy to understand and they drill down into each topic in a very satisfying way.
So well done, Saul."

Alan Kohler, ABC finance presenter, founder of Eureka Report


“I continue to find your thinking invaluable - this year to my ritual weekend reading of the economist I have happily added ‘Saul’s latest’.”

Rufus Black, former Managing Partner of McKinsey’s, and currently Vice-Chancellor of the University of Tasmania


“Your chart pack is amazing - and thanks for offering to add me to the mailing list, that would be great to be included. Everything you could want to know is there - and the way the data are organised and presented to tell the stories makes it so easy to follow.”

Prof Jeff Borland, Truby Williams Professor of Economics, The University of Melbourne, Website


“An excellent summary. Although I take a great interest in what’s happening with COVID-19 day by day In Australia and Internationally, I always find your weekly summary a very interesting review of the past week.”

retired former Chief Executive Officer of a District Hospital Service in New South Wales


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


online events @ saul-eslake.com

NOV

9th

Saul Eslake’s Webinar: China’s economic growth path

6:00 PM AEST Australian Eastern Standard Time
3:00 pm Hong Kong | 2:00 pm Jakarta | 8:00 am CET | 7:00 am London
Cost: $24.99 ~ Includes access to Saul's presentation slides and video

In this webinar Saul will look at the longer-term, structural factors behind the on-going slowdown in China’s economic growth rate, and the more recent changes in the policy and regulatory environment which are likely to re-inforce the impact of those longer-term factors.

Join Saul from anywhere in the world.

Register NOW


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations

Coronavirus Impact Chart Pack 2021-10-23

 Chart Pack | 23rd October 2021

‘The Next Big Risk: Insights on the Economic and Financial Outlook
The Australian Economy | 28th October 2021

Inflation in Australia
News, The Australian Economy | 27th October 2021

‘Stagflation’
News, The Australian Economy | 27th October 2021

A few quick thoughts about China
Asian Economies | 19th October 2021

A chat with Alan Kohler
Economic Video, Publications | 19th October 2021

Talk to the annual Australia-Indonesia Business Summit
Asian Economies, Economic Video | 18th October 2021

September employment data show ‘effective’ unemployment rate at 10.6%
News, The Australian Economy | 14th October 2021

Australia’s housing affordability crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News | 13th October 2021

How serious is the inflation threat
The Global Economy | 7th October 2021

Social Policy in the post-Covid World
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News | 4th October 2021

Fiscal Policy and Public Debt
Economic Policies, Economic Video | 2nd October 2021

Video and Presentation Slides: Fiscal Policy and Public Debt
Economic Policies | 29th September 2021

COVID provides real life experiment on house prices
Housing, Recent Media Interview | 28th September 2021

The “corrupt bargain” imposed by the Morrison Government
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 28th September 2021

Interview with ABC Radio Hobart’s Leon Compton
News, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 20th September 2021

Old wine in new bottles: more ‘rent-seeking’ from South Australian manufacturing interests
Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 17th September 2021

The ‘corrupt bargain’ underpinning WA’s budget surpluses
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Taxation | 16th September 2021

Housing Grants: more harm than good
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 15th September 2021

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VIDEO

Recent Presentations

The Impact of Covid-19 series

These videos are available to audience of Saul’s presentations as soon as they are uploaded and will be available to public one month after the presentation date.

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TOPICS

Articles, Talks and Presentations

The Arts
Asian Economies
The Australian Economy
Australian Society and Politics
Commodities
Economic Policies
Economics and Economists
Education
The Global Economy
Globalization
Housing
Labour Market
Productivity
Security
Tasmania
Taxation

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PUBLICATIONS

Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere

A chat with Alan Kohler
Economic Video, Publications | 19th October 2021

Old wine in new bottles: more ‘rent-seeking’ from South Australian manufacturing interests
Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 17th September 2021

This is a recession – we’re just not calling it one
Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 9th September 2021

Spoiler alert: we’re in a recession, even if it’s not ‘official’
Publications, The Australian Economy | 31st August 2021

Rebuilding the performing arts: an economist weighs in
Publications, The Arts | 21st August 2021

Read more

NEWS

TV, Radio & Print Media

Inflation in Australia
News, The Australian Economy | 27th October 2021

‘Stagflation’
News, The Australian Economy | 27th October 2021

September employment data show ‘effective’ unemployment rate at 10.6%
News, The Australian Economy | 14th October 2021

Australia’s housing affordability crisis
Australian Society and Politics, Housing, News | 13th October 2021

Social Policy in the post-Covid World
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, News | 4th October 2021

Read more

TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say

“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

Read more

LINKS

Useful Links

Below is a list of links I’ve found useful under the following broad topics

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