Topics
Failure, Success, Risk and Luck: Some Personal Reflections
Australian Society and Politics | 10th June 2021Address to the National Boys’ Education Conference, hosted by The King’s Institute, North Parramatta (Sydney), on 10th June 2021
How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poorer’ states over the past 10 years
Publications, The Australian Economy | 4th June 2021Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers on 4th June 2021 outlining how Victoria’s economy has come to depend to a much greater extent on population growth than that of any other Australian state or territory, and the possible consequences for Victoria’s medium-term economic outlook given the way its mis-handling […]
Where does the ‘excess US stimulus’ show up – in higher inflation or a bigger current account deficit
Economic Policies, The Global Economy | 3rd June 2021A note co-authored with John Llewellyn of Llewellyn Consulting which asks where the ‘excess demand’ resulting from the extraordinary amount of policy stimulus now being applied to the US economy will show up – in inflation (which is where the financial markets and most pundits appear to be looking) or in the US balance of […]
Victorians have become poorer than residents all other states and territories except one
Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 2nd June 2021Saul talks to Melbourne radion 3AW‘s Ross Stevenson and Russel Howcroft about how Victoria has gone from being one of Australia’s richest states to one of its poorest, by some measures, over the past 20 years.
Will the property market stay this ‘hot’?
Economic Policies, News, The Australian Economy | 2nd June 2021Saul talks to Domain’s Alice Stolz about the outlook for property prices, and housing policies
Victoria’s economic performance over the past decade
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 31st May 2021The Australian Financial Review’s newly-appointed Economics Editor John Kehoe had a front-page piece about the performance of Victoria’s economy, based in part on interviews with me, on 31st May 2021. Here is a set of charts illustrating the points I was making.
Protracted border closures are a new form of ‘protectionism’
Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th May 2021Op-ed article published in The Australian Financial Review of 31st May (and available online online here) making the case that although the continued closure of Australia’s international borders is providing unheralded benefits to Australia’s economy (boosting spending and accelerating the decline in unemployment), much like the old forms of ‘protectionism’ in which we indulged for […]
Mortgage stress: 230,000 Aussie households ‘risk losing their homes’
Housing | 28th May 2021Saul talks to news.com.au’s Finance Editor Sarah Sharples about mortgage stress, interest rates and housing policies