SAUL ESLAKE

Economist

SAUL ESLAKE

‘Welcome to my website …
I’m an independent economist, speaker, company director
and Vice-Chancellor’s Fellow at the University of Tasmania’

Publications


Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere

Protracted border closures are a new form of ‘protectionism’

Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th May 2021

Op-ed article published in The Australian Financial Review of 31st May (and available online online here) making the case that although the continued closure of Australia’s international borders is providing unheralded benefits to Australia’s economy (boosting spending and accelerating the decline in unemployment), much like the old forms of ‘protectionism’ in which we indulged for […]


Don’t believe what lightweights tell you about Josh Frydenberg’s spending spree

Economic Policies, News, Publications | 19th May 2021

Sydney Morning Herald Economics Editor Ross Gittins’ write-up of my analysis of the 2021-22 Budget


Our closed borders have turbo-charged the economy’s recovery

Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 7th May 2021

An article in the Sydney Morning Herald and Melbourne Age newspapers on 8th May 2021 by Economics Editor Ross Gittins about the under-recognized stimulatory impact of Australia’s border closures in response to Covid-19, which draws extensively on my Financial Review op-ed of 8th April


Lessons for Libs in Gutwein’s triumph

Publications, Tasmania | 2nd May 2021

Op-Ed piece in the Australian Financial ReviewAustralian Financial Review with my take on Saturday 2nd May 2021’s Tasmanian election outcome


The right and proper thing to do | Inside Story

Economic Policies, Publications, The Australian Economy | 30th April 2021

Treasurer Josh Frydenberg makes the ‘right call’ on fiscal policy, 12 days out from the 2021-22 Federal Budget


Australia and Korea: the ‘odd couple’

Asian Economies, News, Publications | 21st April 2021

I’m quoted in the Singapore Straits Times and Hong Kong’s South China Morning Post talking about the different reasons why Australia’s and Korea’s economies were the only ones to avoid recession during the financial crisis of 12 years ago, and why they have recovered strongly from the Covid-19 induced recession  


Longer term prospects for Tasmanian economy

Publications, Tasmania | 18th April 2021

Saul comments on Deloitte Access Economics’ latest five-year forecasts for Tasmania’s economy and the need for ‘structural reforms’ to ‘bake in longer-term prosperity’. Tasmania’s economy has done well in the pandemic, but the future is looking shaky, experts warn – ABC News, Alexandra Humphries, 18th April 2021


Saul’s take on Tasmania’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update

Publications, Tasmania | 16th April 2021

Saul’s take on Tasmania’s Pre-Election Economic and Fiscal Update released by Tasmanian Treasury on 14th April 2021, as reported by the Burnie Advocate’s Sean Ford


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“You are the best economic thinker in the country hands down”

Sheryle Bagwell, recently retired Senior Business Correspondent (and sometime Executive Producer),
ABC Radio National Breakfast


“Just want to congratulate you Saul on the unbelievably good set of slides you just presented, possibly the best I have ever seen. You have set the bar very high.”

Dr Joe Flood, Adjunct Fellow, RMIT University, Pandemicia


“Thank you very much for your excellent presentation for the Economic Society today. It is always a great pleasure to hear your eloquent, up-to-date and comprehensive talks.”

Andrew Trembath, economist, Victorian and Australian Government agencies


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WHAT'S NEW

Most Recent Articles, Talks and Presentations


‘A distinctive part of life in Australia’ The Declining Dream of Homeownership
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing
17th April 2024


Could China have a currency crisis at some point in the next 2-5 years?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy, Topics
16th April 2024


“The Great Housing Disaster – Who’s to Blame?”
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Housing, Recent Media Interview, Topics
15th April 2024


The Economic Consequences of Surges in Immigration
Australian Society and Politics, The Australian Economy, The Global Economy, Topics
10th April 2024


Is China heading for some kind of currency or financial crisis?
Asian Economies, The Global Economy
4th April 2024


The next four years will be difficult for Tasmania
News, Tasmania
27th March 2024


Some initial reflections on the outcome of the 2024 Tasmanian State election
Australian Society and Politics, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Tasmania’s fiscal position
Australian Society and Politics, Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania
24th March 2024


Productivity, Tax Reform and ‘Peak China’
Asian Economies, Economic Policies, Productivity, Taxation, The Australian Economy
13th March 2024


Tasmania – lost opportunities
Tasmania
12th March 2024


The Tasmanian Economy
Tasmania
29th February 2024


The worst public policy decision of the 21st Century
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
20th February 2024


Is ‘price gouging’ a major contributor to inflation?
Recent Media Interview
19th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Andy Park)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


The massive $50bn GST revenue distribution blow out (with Gary Adshead)
Economic Policies, Recent Media Interview
14th February 2024


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TESTIMONIALS

What Others Say


“You are one of the best at what you do in the world”
Gail Fosler, Chief Economist, The Conference Board, New York, December 2002

“I have never known an economist to have such a knowledge of world economic facts and to be able to bring to bear so much information in answering a question without notice”
Charles Goode, Chairman, ANZ Bank, July 2009

“Saul Eslake is … a highly regarded independent economist with the highest degree of integrity"
John Durie, Columnist, The Australian, July 2009

“… one of the few people in this world who can have so many oranges up in the air at the same time but still manage to catch them"
Andrew Clark, journalist, Australian Financial Review, November 2008

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