Publications
Here you can find articles or essays which I have written and which have been published elsewhere
Is Australia having a Second Recession?
Australian Society and Politics, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 16th August 2021A recession is commonly defined as two or more quarters of negative growth in real GDP. But that’s a silly rule – and it isn’t used in the US, where the body which officially delineates recessions last month said that the 2020 recession lasted just two months. If the bushfires of late 2019 and early […]
Lifting education key to boosting Tasmanian wages
Education, News, Publications, Tasmania | 2nd August 2021You may find this article by Sean Ford in today’s Examiner and Advocate newspapers of interest … it encapsulates what I’ve been saying on this subject now for 24 years, to no real avail – but, to paraphrase Mitch McConnell speaking (pejoratively) of Elizabeth Warren, “still I persist”. Tasmanias education outcomes need improving to boost […]
June CPI and the implications of Australia’s vaccination strategy
Economic Policies, News, Publications, Recent Media Interview, The Australian Economy | 29th July 2021Saul talks to Alan Kohler about this week’s June quarter CPI result and the implications of Australia’s vaccination strategy for our economic performance.
The CommSec “State of the States” Report – Tasmania
News, Publications, Recent Media Interview, Tasmania | 29th July 2021Saul discusses the latest CommSec ‘State of the States’ Report with Tasmania Talks’ Mike O’Loughlin on 28th July 2021.
‘Pop goes the rental’
Economic Policies, Housing, Publications | 26th July 2021Column published in The Saturday Paper on 24th July examining the reasons behind, and consequences of, Australia’s seemingly unstoppable housing price escalator (the headline was chosen by the editor)
Hiding behind the ‘health advice’
Australian Society and Politics, Publications | 14th June 2021Op-ed article published by the Australian Financial Review arguing that the time is fast approaching when the Government can no longer defer decisions on (for example) how long to keep Australia’s borders closed to “health advice” without also giving at least some weight to other considerations (also available here)
How Victoria became one of Australia’s ‘poorer’ states over the past 10 years
Publications, The Australian Economy | 4th June 2021Op-ed article published in the Melbourne Age and Sydney Morning Herald newspapers on 4th June 2021 outlining how Victoria’s economy has come to depend to a much greater extent on population growth than that of any other Australian state or territory, and the possible consequences for Victoria’s medium-term economic outlook given the way its mis-handling […]
Victoria’s economic performance over the past decade
Economic Policies, News, Publications, The Australian Economy | 31st May 2021The Australian Financial Review’s newly-appointed Economics Editor John Kehoe had a front-page piece about the performance of Victoria’s economy, based in part on interviews with me, on 31st May 2021. Here is a set of charts illustrating the points I was making.
